Climate intervention becomes a relationship of power.
Everyone expects
Geoengineering is a shared climate response.
What I found
Do as we say, or no rain.
What if an intervention that improves conditions for one country worsens them for another? Weather and climate intervention become questions of security, bargaining and coercion as well as environmental protection.
The future is not one technology deployed into an otherwise unchanged world. Countries form interests around different consequences, and the web of responses determines which interventions become politically possible.
This scenario asks what alliances, threats and dependencies emerge when governments can influence conditions on which other societies rely.
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Strategic wargaming and decision gamesThey didn’t invade. They made sure nobody could live there.
Everyone expectsRobot wars will be about killing.
Armies that mass to attack are seen and hit within minutes, so taking territory costs more than it’s worth. In this scenario, an aggressor stops trying.
Follow how it could happenThe forest survives because nobody will buy its wood.
Everyone expectsForests are saved by agreements and incentives.
Suppose a superpower confronted with a climate emergency intervenes to make a forest’s products commercially unusable, then leaves. The premise is not conquest.
Follow how it could happenThe government can decide anything. It just can’t do it.
Everyone expectsThe government decides to take back control.
A government recognises a dangerous dependency and decides to act. The suppliers have gone. The skills have faded. The infrastructure is committed elsewhere.
Follow how it could happenA subject, a technology, a question or a body of research.